The Oklahoma City Thunder are 9.5-point favorites heading into Game 5 of the NBA Finals against the Indiana Pacers at Paycom Center on Monday, starting at 8:30 p.m. ET on ABC. The series is tied 2-2.
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Thunder vs. Pacers Predictions for Monday
Our computer projection model for this contest expects a final result of Thunder 122, Pacers 107.
- Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-413)
- Total Pick: Over 223.5 (computer predicts 229.2 points)
- Pick ATS: Thunder (-9.5)
Recent Thunder vs. Pacers Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/13/2025 | Thunder | -6 | 228 | -234 | +191 | 111-104 OKC |
| 6/11/2025 | Thunder | -5.5 | 226 | -224 | +184 | 116-107 IND |
| 6/8/2025 | Thunder | -11.5 | 228.5 | -581 | +424 | 123-107 OKC |
| 6/5/2025 | Thunder | -10 | 230 | -510 | +387 | 111-110 IND |
| 3/29/2025 | Thunder | -9.5 | 236 | -437 | +336 | 132-111 OKC |
| 12/26/2024 | Thunder | -5 | 227.5 | -215 | +177 | 120-114 OKC |
| 4/5/2024 | Pacers | -6.5 | 234.5 | -229 | +189 | 126-112 IND |
| 3/12/2024 | Thunder | -5.5 | 240.5 | -221 | +181 | 121-111 IND |
Thunder 2024-25 Betting Trends
- So far this season, Oklahoma City has put together a 54-26-2 record against the spread.
- In games they have played as at least 9.5-point favorites this season, the Thunder are 27-14-1 against the spread.
- Oklahoma City has gone over in 46 of its 82 games with a set total (56.1%).
- This season, the Thunder have been favored 79 times and won 66, or 83.5%, of those games.
- Oklahoma City has a record of 35-5, a 87.5% win rate, when it's favored by -413 or more by sportsbooks this season.
Pacers 2024-25 Betting Trends
- Indiana is 38-43-1 against the spread this year.
- The Pacers have a 2-2 record against the spread when an underdog by 9.5 points or more this year.
- Of Indiana's 82 games with a set total, 44 have hit the over (53.7%).
- The Pacers have been the moneyline underdog 33 total times this season. They've gone 16-17 in those games.
- Indiana has a record of 2-2 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +318 or longer (50%).
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Thunder vs. Pacers Injury Report
Thunder
Thunder:
Nikola Topic: Out For Season (Acl)
Pacers
Pacers:
Isaiah Jackson: Out For Season (Calf),
Jarace Walker: Day-To-Day (Ankle)
Thunder vs. Pacers Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Monday, June 16, 2025
- Game time: 8:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ABC
- Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
- Arena: Paycom Center
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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