I waited until Super Bowl Sunday to post a Super Bowl guess because I'm very, very lazy and because I've never really had a feel for how this game is going to play out.
And honestly, the World Wide Web would continue on just fine if I didn't add to it my opinion as to who will win between the Eagles and Patriots.
But it is my job to offer last-minute lukewarm takes even when I don't feel that strongly about something, so here it goes...
I'm taking the Eagles and the points for the following reasons..
*Because Philly can make New England one-dimensional.
*Because I can't stop thinking about how creaky Brady looked for almost three quarters a year ago against an Atlanta defense that wasn't as good as the one he'll face today.
*Because Patriots Super Bowls are always close.
*Because New England's defense isn't nearly as good as the raw numbers would indicate.
I'm picking the Patriots to win the game outright because....
*They have an edge on special teams.
*Belichick will devise a plan to contain Zach Ertz.
*Nick Foles will not be able to recapture the magic of his NFC title game performance.
*The Eagles are not playing at home.
*It's hard for me to pick against the greatest coach and greatest quarterback of all-time when they're favored against a backup QB.
The playoffs have been miserable for me, with an against-the-spread record of 2-7-1. Add that to my regular season totals and I'm 129-127-10, which means I will finish in the black, even if only slightly.
Patriots 24 Eagles 21 (Philly +4.5)
Prop bets I love...
Brady Total completions: OVER 27
Super Bowl MVP: Brady -110
First quarter UNDER 9.5 points
Brady passing attempts: OVER 40
....and for good measure a teaser of Philly up to +10.5 and the over/under down to 42.5.
My work here on this Super Bowl Sunday is done. Top this, JT....