Blog Of Football Guesses. If Not Now, Then When? But Probably Not Now.

Here are some exceptionally brief Bengals thoughts on a nice-looking Friday afternoon...

I would absolutely ask the Kansas City Chiefs if they'd like to trade for Andy Dalton.

I don't know that the Kansas City Chiefs should feel all that desperate to trade for Andy Dalton.

My guess is they'd prefer to have Matt Moore play for a few weeks after spending the past two months learning their system instead of giving up a draft pick and having to get Dalton up to speed.

I have no idea what's going on with Cordy Glenn.

I do know that with an avalanche of shit to deal with already, a situation like this one is the last thing he needs.I

I believe fining Cordy Glenn is stupid.

I'm also not sure why you'd keep him around, even if there are no takers in a trade.

I don't know why a team that's so thin at wide receiver keeps using three-wideout sets.

I think I've recapped this week's big Bengals topics. Read this about AJ Green.

Here are the guesses.

Jacksonville (-3.5) over Cincinnati. I'll admit that I came close to picking the home team, if for no other reason that the Jaguars' offensive performance last week was putrid, and because a team that keeps falling just short of winning is going to stumble into a victory at some point, right? As much fun as we have laughing at the idea of two 0-14 teams playing each other when the Bengals go to Miami in week 16, the odds aren't in favor of them being winless going into the weekend before Christmas. They're going to win at some point, so an opponent like Jacksonville is a prime candidate against whom to pick up that elusive victory.

But I don't know how anyone could pick the Bengals, regardless of opponent right now. Yes, the Bengals have had some close losses in which they've at least covered the spread, but those numbers have been larger than the 3.5 they're getting this week, and within those narrow defeats have come long stretches of complete ineptitude.

Name a position group and I'll show you a mess. The secondary. Both lines. Wide receiver. Linebacker.

Jacksonvile's pass rush is inconsistent, but I don't know how the Bengals block Calais Campbell, and I'll bet we see a multi-sack game from Josh Allen, and now that Leonard Fournette is actually good again, even if Gardner Minshew isn't able to challenge a beaten-up secondary, my guess is at least one of the holes on the Cincinnati defense gets exposed.

And it ain't like PBS is providing much of a home-field advantage.

The Bengals take their winless record across the pond. Jaguars 20 Bengals 16

LA Rams (-3) over Atlanta. When you've lost three straight, what you want to see is Atlanta's defense.

NY Giants (-3) over Arizona. This line is way too low. The Giants get Saquon Barkley and Evan Engram back against an Arizona defense that's given up at least 23 in every game.

Baltimore (+3) over Seattle. The Seahawks could be without three starting offensive linemen, the Ravens just improved at corner, and assuming he doesn't try to jump over any more defenders, my guess is Mark Andrews has a big day.

Philadelphia (+2.5) over Dallas. Road underdogs are hitting at a 67 percent clip in 2019. Dak Prescott's proclivity for turnovers and the injuries on the Dallas O-line have me leaning on the best team in the NFC.

College tilts....

Tulsa (+17) over Cincinnati. Cats win. Golden Hurricane covers, maybe with the backdoor opening up in garbage time. As much as I like this UC team, 17 points for a team that gave up some big plays last week, was a little too reliant on the takeaway, and deals with too many penalties is a bit high.

Bearcats 31 Golden Hurricane 17

Ohio State (-27) over Northwestern. I'm also taking the Buckeyes at (-17) in the first half. The Wildcats are too dreadful on offense to even think about picking them to cover.

Miami (+2) over Northern Illinois. The Redhawks are 8-2 ATS in the MAC over their last ten games. Northern Illinois' pass rush and running game metrics are too poor to resist the points.

Clemson (-24.5) over Louisville. Easy money here. The Cardinals were immensely fun to watch in their win over Wake Forest, but their pass defense is brutal, and I expect a motivated Clemson team after they were passed in the polls.

Georgia (-25) over Kentucky. I wouldn't pick anyone against the Bulldogs at home coming off a loss.

Penn State (-7.5) over Michigan. I know how you could trust Michigan's offense in a game against a defense that's been as good as PSU's at keeping opponents from finishing drives.

Boise State (-7) over BYU. I can't believe this number isn't double-figures.

NFL mark in 2019: 19-12

College football mark in 2019: 19-14-1

(Thumbnail photo: Michael Hickey/Getty)

Mo Egger

Mo Egger

Mo Egger delivers his unique take on sports on Cincinnati's ESPN 1530! Read more

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