These will be quick and concise, because I know that's what you want.
2020 Bengals Record: 6-9-1. On paper, this looks like a 6-10 team. When I went through the schedule and guessed wins and losses for each each, I had them at 7-9. So for this season's official guess, I split the difference and went 6-9-1. I get points for originality.
Which means.....Bengals OVER 5.5 wins.
The goal for this season is for me to feel at the end of it like a running start and a playoff appearance are distinct possibilities in 2020
Bengals/Chargers guess: Cincinnati +3. Joe Mixon vs. Austin Ekeler. I'll side with two the team with the two Joes.
Bengals props I like: Want some playoff value? Bengals to make the playoffs as a wild card specifically is +800
Joe Burrow over 3849.5 passing yards, over 23.5 TD passes, over 13.5 interceptions, and over 62% completion percentage.
Joe Mixon over 1159.5 yards.
Every AJ Green under.
Carlos Dunlap under 8.5 sacks.
Obviously, I'll be happy to lose money on some of these.
NFL season futures I like: New Orleans +1200 to win the Super Bowl, New England over 8.5 wins, Detroit over 6.5 wins, and Cleveland under 8.5 wins paired with Cleveland to miss the playoffs at -130.
Also: Dallas to win the NFC East at -120, Seattle to win the NFC West at +220, and Houston to win the AFC South at +350
And: Russell Wilson to win MVP at +1600, Jacksonville as the team to win the fewest games at +200, and simply for the value play, Cedee Lamb to be NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year at +1600 even though it's probably going to be Clyde Edwards-Helaire (+275) or Joe Burrow (+275)
NFL Week One: Seattle (+1.5), Indianapolis (-8), and Minnesota/Green Bay under 45.5
College tilts: Duke/Notre Dame under 54, Clemson Wake Forest first half under 33, and Louisiana moneyline over Iowa State.
This will hopefully be more elaborate next week.
NFL mark ATS in 2019: 65-37-3
College mark ATS in 2019: 46-37-1