College tilts of interest....

Cincinnati (-13.5) over Houston. I got it at -13, and I'd take this all the way to -16.5. The Bearcats are averaging just 2.68 yards against per carry (national average is 4.22), the Cougars won't have Marquez Stevenson, and Houston's defense has allowed 40+ against two other opponents, ranking among the ten worst teams in the nation in defensive pass explosiveness. This won't be remotely close.

Michigan/Indiana over 54. Both teams are among the top 32 in the country in pace, Michigan's secondary is shaky, and IU applies no pass rush.

Georgia (-3) over Florida. I should learn my lesson from last week, but I'll still lay the points against a defense that has seven players who've missed four or more tackles.

Ohio State (first half -23.5) over Rutgers. The Buckeyes aren't going to turn it over seven times the way Michigan State did.

Notre Dame (+5.5) over Clemson. I don't trust Clemson's defense, I do trust Notre Dame's special teams, and even though the narrative is that Brian Kelly can't beat top ten teams, he does cover against them when his team isn't favored, going 8-3 ATS since arriving in South Bend.

NFL tilts of interest...

Me missing Joe Burrow on Sunday (--450,000)

Chargers (-1.5) over Las Vegas. Yes, they blow leads, but they've built up multi-score advantages against Tampa Bay, New Orleans, and Kansas City. LA has their QB. They don't have their coach.

Seattle/Buffalo over 53.5. If the Bills lead, Russell Wilson will throw at will. If the Seahawks go ahead, their secondary will be carved up by Josh Allen.

Chicago (+6) over Tennessee. Road dogs who are getting six points are less are 32-13 ATS this season. The Bears get ridiculed for their lousy offense, but they've put up decent totals against bad defenses.

Teaser: Indianapolis up to +9 over Baltimore/Giants up to +9.5 over Washington.

NFL ATS in 2020: 21-11-1

College Football ATS in 2020: 19-14-1